Monday 8 December 2008
divergeance signals slowing momentum
nice area of support at 4600, although I would expect cables to stumble heavily through holiday period, can't rule out sudden probes upwards
can take some time out; or trade the range as forecast in my last entry; dips around 4600 to long and then 5300;
see daily chart pic attached, price trapped in end of wedge... also check JPY pairs for signs of basing at current levels
Friday 21 November 2008
down trend still intact but watching 15M for signs of new upwards break
Tuesday 18 November 2008
TIC flows improving
dollar strength from revisions to last TIC figures, placing a negative pit mid September but improving since
Monday 17 November 2008
looking to buy gbp, selling eur-gbp
got to 1.5053 but holding for now, support at 95/09 could be place to buy
Tuesday 11 November 2008
simple advice
Friday 31 October 2008
breaktime this morning
continue with GBP shorts by re-entry if trend remains intact, but for me unclear this morning
Thursday 30 October 2008
Monday 27 October 2008
USDCAD short trade
looking at short on USDCAD, and possible reversal play... still should be careful, you can see stop hunting up from 2700 area
UPDATE: CAN CLOSE OR LONG SIGNALS AT 1.1805 AREA
UPDATE: CAN CLOSE OR LONG SIGNALS AT 1.1805 AREA
Tuesday 21 October 2008
bear resume
covering at 6990, short to 6800 and 6500
watching for sudden reversal or muddy basing into 6500!!
watching for sudden reversal or muddy basing into 6500!!
Friday 17 October 2008
gbp, bit churny
7240 is immediate pivot up/down! still waiting for direction
above that, topping at 390/430 would seal bearishness for medium-term, or bullish continuation on break 390/430
below next level is 7100
above that, topping at 390/430 would seal bearishness for medium-term, or bullish continuation on break 390/430
below next level is 7100
Thursday 16 October 2008
for me unclear
ready to short bearish continuation sooner than expected but expect messy basing above 6800
nearest support 7163 penetrated but holding
nearest support 7163 penetrated but holding
Wednesday 15 October 2008
Tuesday 14 October 2008
Friday 10 October 2008
weekly rep
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.7157; (P) 1.7406; (R1) 1.7552;
next target of 61.8% retracement of 1.3680 to 2.1161 at 1.6538.
above 1.7398 will turn intraday outlook neutral first. But consolidation should be relatively brief as long as 1.7398 resistance holds and recent decline is still expected to resume sooner rather than later.
In the bigger picture, a long term top is in place at 2.1161 and down trend from there is still in progress. Next medium term target is 61.8% retracement of 1.3680 to 2.1161 at 1.6538. The impulsive nature and the scale of the fall from 2.1161 also provides strong evidence to the case of the start of a long term down trend.
Sustained break of 1.6538 will target 1.3681 (01 low). On the upside, above 1.8668 resistance is need to confirm that a medium term bottom is formed. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish and further decline is still expected even in case of stronger than expected rebound.
next target of 61.8% retracement of 1.3680 to 2.1161 at 1.6538.
above 1.7398 will turn intraday outlook neutral first. But consolidation should be relatively brief as long as 1.7398 resistance holds and recent decline is still expected to resume sooner rather than later.
In the bigger picture, a long term top is in place at 2.1161 and down trend from there is still in progress. Next medium term target is 61.8% retracement of 1.3680 to 2.1161 at 1.6538. The impulsive nature and the scale of the fall from 2.1161 also provides strong evidence to the case of the start of a long term down trend.
Sustained break of 1.6538 will target 1.3681 (01 low). On the upside, above 1.8668 resistance is need to confirm that a medium term bottom is formed. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish and further decline is still expected even in case of stronger than expected rebound.
Thursday 14 August 2008
Monday 28 April 2008
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